Mikko Packalen

Assistant Professor

Economics

 

packalen@uwaterloo.ca

+1 519 888 4567 ext. 33413

Department of Economics,

200 University Avenue West,

Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1, Canada

 

Current Research Interests

Innovation Science Text as Data Health Firm Productivity

Research Papers

Words in Patents: Research Inputs and the Value of Innovativeness in Invention (with Jay Bhattacharya)

New!

Innovation Science Text as Data Empirical

PDF

Shows how to organically identify research inputs based on text. Shows how to measure innovativeness and its value. Shows how to distinguish between citations that reflect the cumulative nature of invention and citations that may merely reflect similarity

Opportunities and Benefits as Determinants of the Direction of Scientific Research (with Jay Bhattacharya)       

Journal of Health Economics (2011)    Earlier version with also pharmaceutical industry analysis is here.

Innovation Science Text as Data Health Econometrics Empirical

PDF

Shows that the induced innovation hypothesis holds also for scientific research. Shows how to estimate the quality of research opportunities from textual information.

 

The Other Ex-Ante Moral Hazard in Health (with Jay Bhattacharya)      

Journal of Health Economics (2012)    Earlier version with a less formal model and disease-specific analysis is here.

Innovation Science Health Theory

PDF

Shows that obesity should be subsidized due to impacts on inventor reward and induced innovation. Shows that quantitatively this mechanism can be as important as the insurance ex ante moral hazard examined in Ehrlich and Becker (1972).

 

Inference about Clustering and Parametric Assumptions in Covariance Matrix Estimation (with Tony Wirjanto)       

Computational Statistics and Data Analysis (2012)

Econometrics

PDF

Shows why the White (1980) standard errors test often performs poorly and proposes a testing strategy that improves power from 0.04 to 0.82.

 

Identification and Estimation of Social Interactions through Variation in Equilibrium Influence

Under Revision

Econometrics

PDF

Shows how to set estimate social interaction effects using instrumental variables built by combining constructed conditionally balanced network structures and observations on the outcome variable.

 

Complements and Potential Competition

International Journal of Industrial Organization (2010)

Innovation Competition Policy Theory

PDF

Shows how and when the impact of cooperation by complementors on induced innovation overturns the double monopoly result of Cournot (1838).

 

Market Share Exclusion       

Revise-and-Resubmit

Innovation Competition Policy Theory

PDF

Shows how and when induced innovation and externalities among buyers render market share exclusion profitable when complete exclusion is not.

 

Static and Dynamic Merger Effects: A Market Share Based Empirical Analysis (with Anindya Sen)       

Submitted

Competition Policy Empirical

PDF

Shows that the presence of merger-specific efficiencies can be detected from within-market comparisons of the evolution of market shares over time.

On the Learnability of Rational Expectations Equilibria in Three Business Cycle Models

Lic.Soc.Sci Thesis (2000)

Expectations and Learning Theory

 

 

Adaptive Learning of Rational Expectations: A Neural Network Approach

English version of M.Soc.Sci Thesis (1998)

Expectations and Learning Theory

 

 

 

Teaching

 

Academic Year 2012-13:

         101 Introduction to Microeconomics

         321 Introduction to Econometrics

 

Academic Year 2011-12

         201 Microeconomic Theory

 

Academic Year 2010-11

321 Introduction to Econometrics (undergraduate; instructor rating 4.6/5.0)

This course is an introduction to statistical analysis of choice-based behaviour. The learning objective is the ability to determine whether an estimated effect is a good estimate of the unknown true effect. Reaching this objective gives student the skill to determine whether analyses in news and research articles are informative by first mapping the analysis to the regression framework and then forming beliefs about the relationship between observed and unobserved explanatory variables.

Course Materials: 8 Problem Sets, 4 Mid-term Exams, Final Exam, Notes, Slides, Textbook: “Introduction to Econometrics” by Stock and Watson. To provide incentives to study and to emphasize the role of incentives in economics, student evaluation is effort-based in that exams follow the problem sets closely. While students have a realistic chance at achieving the perfect grade, students should keep in mind that success in this course typically requires weekly effort throughout the semester due to the challenging nature of the material covered in the final exam. Questions involve formal proofs of consistency of estimators, use of graphical analysis and intuition to determine consistency of estimators, and computer programming. To emphasize the role of knowledge retrieval in learning, there are 5 exams. Students should pick up and discuss each of the first three mid-term exams from the instructor in person to address gaps in learning early.

 

201 Microeconomic Theory (undergraduate; instructor rating 4.6/5.0)

This course is an introduction to formal microeconomic analysis of behaviour, interactions, and economic policy. The main learning objective is the ability to understand and show formally when self-interest alone can lead to good allocations and when economic policy can improve upon allocations determined by self-interest alone. Reaching this objective gives student the skill to identify external effects on others as the main economic justification for policy interventions.

Course Materials: 8 Problem Sets, 4 Mid-term Exams, Final Exam, Notes, Slides, Textbook: “Intermediate Microeconomics” by Varian. To provide incentives to study and to emphasize the role of incentives in economics, student evaluation is effort-based in that exams follow the problem sets closely. While students have a realistic chance at achieving the perfect grade, students should keep in mind that success in this course typically requires weekly effort throughout the semester due to the challenging nature of the material covered in the final exam. Questions include algebraic proof and implications of the First Welfare Theorem and derivation of a Nash Equilibrium in a model with externalities and continuous choice. To emphasize the role of knowledge retrieval in learning, there are 5 exams. Students should pick up and discuss each of the first three mid-term exams from the instructor in person to address gaps in learning early.

 

Academic Year 2009-10

201 Microeconomic Theory (undergraduate; instructor rating 4.3/5.0)

648 Innovation and Intellectual Property in Industrial Organization (graduate; instructor rating 5.0/5.0)

 

Academic Year 2008-9

648 Innovation and Intellectual Property in Industrial Organization (graduate; instructor rating 5.0/5.0)

673 Applied Microeconometrics I (graduate; instructor rating 5.0/5.0)

 

Academic Year 2007-8

201 Microeconomic Theory (undergraduate; instructor rating 4.4/5.0)

648 Innovation and Intellectual Property in Industrial Organization (graduate; instructor rating 4.7/5.0)